SHING CIVITAS — Open research recordSeries v3.0 · November 12, 2026

The research archive · Volume I

Research
archive

No polished mythology. A public record of hypotheses, methods, unexpected outcomes and limitations — kept for one artificial society.

  1. 01CareP10–P12
  2. 02ToolsP17–P18
  3. 03Language modelsP19
  4. 04BeliefsP14
  5. ∞Field notebookturn the pages

The sequence (P numbers are the project’s internal order)

  1. P10automatic rules switched off
  2. P11where the care chain breaks
  3. P12care under legal information
  4. P14bounded beliefs, forecasts
  5. P16tools and houses (background)
  6. P17what has value under scarcity
  7. P18having vs making a tool
  8. P19language-model residents
Article 1 · Carep. 03

P10–P12 · Autonomous care

Who Cares for the Children? Automatic Rules, Information Boundaries and Care in an Artificial Society

Switching off the engine's automatic household food sharing raised child starvation by 1.425 deaths per world; residents' own care compensated only in part.

+1.425more child starvation deaths per world once the engine stopped sharing food within families (P10; rose in 31 of 40 paired worlds)

10/12primary tests supportedData v1.0.0338.1 KiB
the rule cared — not the residents
Specimen
P10–P12
Units
40 paired seeds per study (320 worlds each); 38 eligible forks
Inside
4 figures · 7 tables · 6 references
Article 2 · Toolsp. 05

P17–P18 · Tool economics

A Tool Can Be Useful Without Being Worth Making: Scarcity, Opportunity Cost and Economic Decisions in an Artificial Society

Under scarcity a free tool and a food reserve had large positive value and a free house did not; making a tool from scratch was not shown to pay for the learning controller mind9.

+29.5net alive person-ticks from making a tool from scratch under scarcity — not shown to pay (95% CI −18.4 to 77.8)

13/20primary tests supportedData v1.0.02.29 MiB
useful ≠ worth making
Specimen
P17–P18
Units
40 paired seeds per test
Inside
3 figures · 6 tables · 4 references
Article 3 · Language modelsp. 07

P19 · Language-model residents

When Language-Model Residents Starved More Than Simple Code: Memory, Scarcity and Survival in an Artificial Society

In the food-constrained world, residents controlled by DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-1017 had lower welfare than both baseline controllers in all 30 worlds; private memory changed plans but not welfare.

30 / 30food-constrained worlds in which DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-1017 residents had lower welfare than both baseline controllers

3/7primary tests supportedData withheldrights review
fluent plans, empty stomachs
Specimen
P19
Units
30 paired seeds in each of two world conditions
Inside
4 figures · 6 tables · 6 references
Article 4 · Beliefsp. 09

P14 · Bounded beliefs

Better Forecasts Are Not Yet Learning to Act: Bounded Beliefs, Prediction Accuracy and the Limits of Learning in an Artificial Society

A bounded belief predictor forecast a child's energy better at +1 and +4 ticks but failed the preregistered +12-tick gate, so no action experiment followed.

−0.63%world-relative forecast improvement at +12 ticks — short of the preregistered 5% gate, so the study stopped

2/3primary tests supportedData v1.0.059.8 KiB
two of three was not enough
Specimen
P14
Units
40 worlds (36–37 eligible per horizon)
Inside
3 figures · 5 tables · 5 references

Field notebook · Vol. I

Field Notebook of a Civilization Observer

The same four experiments as an observer’s hand-annotated journal — turn the pages, follow the sketches, then step into the papers.

Field notes & essays

Written between experiments

Short essays on method and direction — part of the same open record.

  1. No. 01Parallel Worlds · Essay

    What if history could branch?

    Parallel worlds are a future research direction: identical starting conditions, different interventions, and careful comparison.

    Research questionSimulation only
  2. No. 02Methods · Essay

    Why share experiments that fail?

    The point of a research archive is not to prove every idea right, but to make the reasoning visible.

    Research questionSimulation only
Research data archiveP10-P12P17-P18P19P14CC BY 4.0 · MIT · SHA-256 →